The Premier Global Eco-Innovation Technology Firm
Clean Diesels, an Economy or Performance Option?
DEER Conference - August 13, 2007
Dean Harlow
President - Ricardo, Inc.
© Ricardo plc 2007
The Premier Global Eco-Innovation Technology Firm
$3.4 Million in DOE R&D Awards
Thank You DOE
“Ricardo is Fuel Economy”
Engine Downsizing - Cooled EGR � Goal: 15% Fuel Economy Improvement
� Partner: GM
Advanced Flex-Fuel Technologies � Goal: Gas-like Fuel Economy with E85
� Partners: Bosch & University of Michigan
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FuelCell
2030
The Premier Global Eco-Innovation Technology Firm
R&D - Technologies for fuel economy, emissions & vehicle electrification
TechnologyPortfolio
Hybrids & FuelCells
Advanced Gasoline Engines
Clean Diesels
Efficient Transmissions
Controls and Electronics
Alternative Fuels
Pass Car T2B2 Diesel Adv Tech Demo Vehicle
Early Concept for Integrated Aftertreatment
Example Ricardo Solutions
2-Stroke/ 4-Stroke Torque Vectoring - Active Steer Engine with Safety Critical Software
H2
H2 O2
H
Fuel Cell
2030
2
H2 O2H2 O2
Hydrogen-Powered Down Sizing & Boosting "Efficient-C" Diesel Vehicle Concept “DI Boost” Hybrid -- world's most
efficient powertrain
Vehicle-to-Vehicle orHybrid Transmission WAVE-RT for FullAdvanced
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Design Infrastructure Electronic Model Based Control Communication Controllers in ECU
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Key Messages / Agenda
� A systems approach is required to meet the Fuel Economyand CO2 challenge
� Ricardo is applying a systems approach to optimizingpowertrain efficiency and Total Vehicle Fuel Economy
� Diesels have a bright future in the US and Ricardo ishelping to deliver the technology that is leading the way – World’s Most Efficient Powertrain – Ricardo “Efficient-C” Diesel Hybrid – Tier2Bin2 Breakthrough – DIESELMAX – land speed record
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Energy Security, Fuel Availability and Low Carbon Fuel Efficient Vehicle Technologies are driving industry investments
Evidence links increased use of fossil fuels with global warming
Oil Pricing up sharply, increasing global demand will increase prices further
Pric
e pe
r Bar
rel
$80
$70
$60
$50
$40
$30
$20
$10
$0 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06
World-wide adoption of low carbon targets
NEDC-Equivalent CO2 comparison
g/km
NED
C E
quiv
alen
t CO
2
50
100
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250
1990 2000 2010 2020
Source: Ricardo Analysis
EU-15
EU Current Rate
CA Car
China Car
Canada Car
Australia
Japan 1300kg
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In the near term, powertrain improvements will remain the most cost effective solution to the FE & CO2 challenge
� Vehicle Down-sizingCost/Benefit Ratio for CO2 Reduction
Cost
CO
2 R
educ
tion
Weight Reduction
Power
train
Other Improvements
Source: Ricardo Internal data
� Restricting Vehicle Use
� Improved vehicle Weight,Aerodynamics and Friction
� Alternative Fuels and Energy
� Improved Powertrain Efficiency
� Each solution has its own merits, and all have a role to play
� However, improved powertrainefficiency will be a main-stay ofshort / medium term fuelconsumption & CO2 reduction
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HYBRIDS
Advanced Gasoline technologies will close the gap with Diesel with Hybrid solutions remaining expensive
Incremental Cost vs. Current Gasoline Unit
CO
2 R
educ
tion
Cost vs. CO2 Reduction for Powertrain Technologies
Source: Ricardo Internal data
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0% 50% 100%150%200%250%300%350%400%450%
Diesel Gasoline E4 LDD/Gas Intersection Line
Diesel Hybrids
E4 Diesel
Advanced gasoline
Gasoline LBDI
Gasoline Hybrids
US T2B5 Diesels
E5/6Diesel
Application: 1590kg D Segment Passenger CarDrive Cycle: MVEG-B
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Ricardo “Efficient–C” Diesel Hybrid Demonstrator features the world’s most efficient powertrain, achieving >60 mpg
E -M A C H I N E
FD
Driveshaft
Main
1.6 HDi 90hp Diesel Engine
Driveshaft
Starter-Alternator
5-Speed AMT
Flywheel Clutch
� Powertrain efficiency optimization program � 35% improvement in cycle fuel consumption compared
with 2.0l base vehicle � 0-60 mph less than 13 seconds � 5 km to 10 km electric only range
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Further gains will be achieved by combining powertrain efficiency improvement with vehicle systems optimization
Efficient ~ Low Carbon
Vehicle Conventional
Vehicle
Reduce Power required by
vehicle
ImproveEfficiency ofPowertrain
Reduce Carbon in Fuel
Improved Vehicle Energy Efficiency
Higher mechanical efficiency
Optimised control
Fuel cells/battery electric
Higher combustion efficiency
10-15%
2-3%
5-10% (inc trans)
Marginal v Hybrid
Lower vehicle weight/size
Reduced aerodynamic drag
Energy recovery (hybrid)
<5%
3-5% (high speed)
20-30% (city)
Potential benefit
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Propulsion System Ancillaries Drivetrain Rolling Resistance Aero Drag
Ricardo is uniquely contributing to the systems approach
– Offering OEMs… • “No Compromises” Total
Vehicle Fuel Economyimprovement process
• Independent, unbiasedassessment of most cost effective strategies to meetincreased fuel economystandards across their productportfolios
– Assisting EPA with objectiveapproach to reasonable andachievable future CAFE standards
– Providing Governments strategicinsights on balancing CO2 reduction strategies withregulations and industry/ societalimpact
Energy Flow Analysis
Fuel Usage (ea Gear)
Vehicle Speed (MPH)
Fuel Economy (MPG)
Scientific Simulation Methodologies
Propulsion System Ancillaries Drivetrain Rolling Resistance Aero Drag
Vehicle Systems Approach
Total Vehicle Fuel Economy Process
Ric
ardo
is F
uel E
cono
my
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T2B2 emission requirements dictate a comprehensive and integrated systems approach to Diesel engine optimization
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Control Transient
Response & Robustness
Model based gas path control
Electric actuators w/ feedback
Closed loop MAF/EGR balance
Full closed loop CPEMS
System Objective
Combustion
Low Comp. Ratio (<16:1) Cold start aids
Reduce Combustion
Temperatures Modulated super cooled EGR
Improved FuelMixing
High pressure FIE 2000+ bar
Small bore 8-10 hole Nozzles
Adv. Conventional Combustion (PPCC & FPCC)
Full HCCI (Early Injection)
Boost System Performance & High EGRCapability
Wide flow range VGT Sequential Staged
Mixed HP/LP route EGR
High power/weight ratio Next Generation VGC & S/C
Medium route EGR
Aftertreatment Low Cost IntegratedSolution
SiC CDPF
Urea SCR
Low Cost / Low Inertia DPF
LNT 4-Way Catalyst
Pre-Turbo Cat
Available In Progress High Risk
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Ricardo’s “Tier 2 Bin 2” Diesel Technology Breakthrough
� Research Program with Production Intent
� Goals - Demonstrate on D-class Pass Car:
– Tier 2 Bin 5 without NOx aftertreatment • Bin 5 “Engine-Out” emissions • August 2007 Demo
– SULEV with simplified LNT NOxaftertreatment• Bin 2 “Tailpipe” emissions • December 2007 Demo
� Results:
– Achieved Bin 5 “Engine-Out” emissions – Targets demonstrated with acceptable
smoke and fuel economy
Details at 2:20 pm Today Mark Kuhn - Ricardo
– Further refinement continues
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Diesels are an important part of the solution – penetration will nearly triple to 9% by 2013
Projected US Diesel Passenger Vehicle Sales and Market Penetration
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
P roj
e cte
d A
nnua
l S a l
e s (0
00s)
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
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9.0%
10.0%
D ie
sel P
en et
ratio
n (%
)
Car
Truck
Penetration
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Other forecasters are even more optimistic: � Bosch forecasts 6% Diesel penetration in the U.S.A by 2010 and 15% by 2015 (over 2.5 mm) � J.D.Power forecast a rise to 10-15+% penetration in North America by 2015 (up to 2.5 mm) � Martec Group forecast 10-12% in North America by 2013 depending on Diesel price vs. Gasoline
www.ricardo.com
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DIESELMAX - 350.092 mph FIA Land Speed Record – high performance while fuel efficient!
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Pow
er (h
p)
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JCB444-LSR Engine
JCB444 Baseline Engine
DIESELMAX • 4.5 mpg @ 350 mph
Bugatti Veyron• 2.8 mpg @ 250 mph
Mini Cooper S• 5 mpg @ 120 mph
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