Die amerikanische Außen- und Sicherheitspolitikim Wahljahr 2008
Karte der Weltreichtum
Karte der Weltreichtum 2015
Deutschland, 5%Japan, 9%
GB, 4%Frankr., 4%
Andere, 50%
China, 3%
USA, 22%
Ital., 3%
Wirtschaftsstärke 2005
Weltwirtschaft 2007
Welt $ 65.820.000.000 EU $ 14.450.000.000 22
% US $ 13.860.000.000 21
% D $ 2.833.000.000
4 %
Pro-Kopf Einkommen
2007 United States $ 46.000 Germany $ 34.400 75%
1997 United States $ 33.221 Germany $ 26.507 80%
Aufgang oder Untergang?
Das „Amerikanische“ der amerikanischen Außenpolitik
Groß und Gut Klein und Gefährlich Unerlässlich, und doch Unerträglich Ambivalent, Inkonsequent, Widersprüchlich Hydraköpfige Hypermacht Niedergehende Ohnmacht Abgelenkt, Desorientiert DOPPELSTANDARD! HEUCHELEI! BRUTALITÄT!
Erstaunlich erfolgreich!
„Außenpolitik ist Innenpolitik“
„To renew America, we must meet challenges abroad as well at home. There is no longer division between what is foreign and what is domestic—the world economy, the world environment, the world AIDS crisis, the world arms race—they affect us all.“ Präsident William Jefferson Clinton, 1993
„The survival of liberty in our land increasingly depends on the success of liberty in other lands. „The best hope for peace in our world is the expansion of freedom in all the world.“(George W. Bush, 2005)
Das „Amerikanische“ der amerikanischen Innenpolitik
Freiheit in Erfolg und Misserfolg Vielschichtig und vermischt Dynamisch und hochgetaktet Einwanderer und Einheimische Schnell wachsend, wohlhabend „Love my country, fear my government“ Rot und Blau und doch sehr Lila
Bush vs. Kerry 2004 Elektorenstimmen: 286 – 251
Abgegebene Stimmen: 62.028.285 -- 59.028.109 (50.7% - 48.3%)
„Top Ten“
„Bottom Ten“
Geopolitik American Style
Elektorenstimmen 2008
John McCain
An Enduring Peace Built on Freedom, Securing America's Future From Foreign Affairs , November/December 2007
“America needs a president who can revitalize the country's purpose and standing in the world and defeat terrorist adversaries who threaten liberty at home and abroad. There is an enormous amount to do. The next U.S. president must be ready to show America and the world that this country's best days are yet to come and be ready to establish an enduring peace based on freedom.”
Hillary Clinton
Security and Opportunity for the Twenty-first Century From Foreign Affairs , November/December 2007
“The next U.S. president will have a moment of opportunity to reintroduce America to the world and restore our leadership. To build a world that is safe, prosperous, and just, we must get out of Iraq, rediscover the value of statesmanship, and live up to the democratic values that are the deepest source of our strength.”
Barack Obama
Renewing American Leadership From Foreign Affairs , July/August 2007 “After Iraq, we may be tempted to turn
inward. That would be a mistake. The American moment is not over, but it must be seized anew. We must bring the war to a responsible end and then renew our leadership -- military, diplomatic, moral -- to confront new threats and capitalize on new opportunities. America cannot meet this century's challenges alone; the world cannot meet them without America.”
Das Amerikanische der amerikanischen Außenpolitik
„The Denison Model“
1. Struktur
2. Tradition
3. Weltanschauungen
1. Struktur
Begrenzte Staatsmacht ist gute Staatsmacht
Die Verfassung 1789
Balance of Power = Machtgleichgewicht
Alexis de Tocqueville,Democracy In America, (1835)
„entschieden unterlegener Form“
2. Traditionen
Universalismus
Isolationismus
Universalismus John Winthrop (1630)
„For we must consider that we shall be as a city upon a hill.“
The eyes of all people are upon us. So that if we shall deal falsely with our God in this work we have undertaken ... we shall be made a story and a by-word throughout the world. We shall open the mouths of enemies to speak evil of the ways of God ... We shall shame the faces of many of God's worthy servants, and cause their prayers to be turned into curses upon us til we be consumed out of the good land whither we are going.
Isolationismus
George Washington Farewell Address (1796)
Against the insidious wiles of foreign influence the jealousy of a free people ought to be constantly awake; since history and experience prove, that foreign influence is one of the most baneful foes of Republican Government.
It is our true policy to steer clear of permanent alliances with any portion of the foreign world.
3. Weltanschauungen
Frieden, Freiheit, Wohlstand
Life
Liberty
and
the Pursuit of Happiness
Declaration of Independence 1776
In CONGRESS, July 4, 1776.
When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.
Declaration of Independence 1776
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.
That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.
Declaration of Independence 1776
Life Liberty Pursuit of
Happiness
Weltbühne DschungelAnarchieRaubstaaten
FamilieEine-Welt-Zivilisation
Marktplatz
Motive des Handelns
InteressenMacht
Menschen-rechteBegrenzte Staatsmacht
GewinnMarktanteil
Die Zukunft der transatlantischen
Beziehungen Pax Atlantica Pax Americana Multipolare Welt Festung Amerika