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Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
1 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
Welcome to Düsseldorf
8 November 2011
Hans Jürgen KerkhoffPresident German Steel FederationChairman Steel Institute VDEh
Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
2 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
Stahl-Zentrum, Düsseldorf, Germany
Stahl-Zentrum
German Steel FederationSteel Institute VDEh
VDEh-Institute for Applied Research BFI
MPI for Iron and Steel Research
Research Association for Steel Application
Publishing House Stahleisen
Advisory Organisation for Steel Construction
Special Steel Association
Steel Information Centre
Information Centre Stainless Steel
Steel Credit Security Office
Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
3 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
Competence for Steel under one Roof
Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
4 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
World crude steel production 2009 and 2010
Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
5 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
The Steel Production Sites in Germany
Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
6 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
Outlook 2012: German steel market still growing - from an already high starting point
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011f 2012f20
25
30
35
40
45
37.736.7
35.1 34.4
36.7 36.9
40.3
43.4 43.2
29.0
37.1
40.3 40.9
Apparent Steel Use Germany (Finished Steel, in Million Tons)
+27% +9% +1,5%
f = forecast
Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
7 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
Decision by the EU Commission on benchmarks in emission rights trading from 2013
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2400
Benchmark based on 10 percent best performers in the EU
Decrease of the Benchmarks due to a climate target of 30 %
1475
Emissions of the Blast Furnaces in the EU
kg CO2 / t Crude Iron
EU-decision (December, 15 2010)1328
Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
8 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2011 DrohendeBelastungen
Threatening costs from energy and climate policy for the steel industry in Germany
365
300 180
10
45
250
415
120
200
180
in million €
~
250
Germany
EU
180
Energy turnaround Increasingel. power costs caused by stopping el. Power plants
Increased change climate target(additional reduction of free allocations for increased EU target on 30 %)
Energy tax(less of tax adjustment)
ETS (costs for CO2 certificates)according to Benchmark decision
ETS (electricity costs)
Renewable Energy Fee(increased apportionment)
CO2-Price 2010: 15 €/t CO2
2013: 30 €/t CO2
Threateningcosts
Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
9 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
Renewable Energy Law (EEG) – Payments for renewables and costs for steel industry:Massive increase already before the amendment.
2,6 3,6 4,5 5,87,9 9
17,80 18,8 20 20,8
16,7
12,310,4
0
5
10
15
20
25
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Bill
ion
€ / a
Million € / a
Payments for Renewables in Billion € / a
Burden Steel Industry in M. € / a
2010: Renewable Fee 2,047 Cent / kWh 2011: Renewable Fee 3,5 Cent / kWh 2015: Renewable Fee 4 Cent / kWh
2010: 110 M. €
2011p: 180 M. €
Source: BDEW, own calculations
Amendment of the Renewable Energy Law:The annual burden would be doubled up to 400 million €
Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
10 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
0,0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1,0
1,1
1960 70 80 90 2000
Spe
cific
prim
ary
ener
gy c
onsu
mpt
ion
in t
coal
eq
uiv.
/t cr
ude
stee
l
0,8
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
2,0
2,2
2,4
2,6
2,8
3,0
Spe
c. C
O2 e
mis
sion
in t
/ t c
rude
ste
el
Energy efficiency andCO2-emissions of the steel industry in Germany
- 10 Mill. T CO2
Reduced CO2 emission: comparison1990/2009
Equal to 4 million middle-sized automobiles
(15 000 km/year; 170 g CO2/km)
Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
11 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
Consumption of reducing agents of the blast furnaces in Germany
Stahl-Zentrum
Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
12 | 08.11.2011 © Stahlinstitut VDEh | Wirtschaftsvereinigung Stahl
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